High-level Democratic Party consultant Doug Schoen, who worked for Bill Clinton, recently said that he fears that the Democratic Party could lose big in the 2022 midterm elections following the release of new polling data.
The rise in concern for Democrats comes on the heels of a bad month for President Joe Biden, when his decision to leave Afghanistan abruptly, along with concerns over his handling of the coronavirus pandemic, brought a deep downturn in support. The decision to leave abruptly has turned many Independent voters against him, saying they disagreed with his handling of the evacuation which led to the deaths of 13 American servicemembers when an ISIS-K suicide bomber exploded itself at the airport gates during evacuations.
“The marked decline in support for President Biden and his administration nationally in key swing states indicates that the Democrat Party could endure a blowout defeat in 2022 midterm elections,” Schoen told The Hill.
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Not only has Biden suffered missteps in the Afghanistan withdrawal, but also his handling of the Corona-Virus Delta variant, along with the crime and concern over inflation, have all caused his numbers to take a steep nose-dive.
A new Economist/YouGov poll has shown that only 40 percent of the country nationwide approve of the job Biden is doing. Moreover, his support in key swing states that voted for him has also hit negative numbers with the key swing/Independent voter now turning on him in battleground states.
The Economist/YouGov poll shows, according to Schoen, a drastic dip for Biden:
“For the first time, a greater share of Americans disapproves (45%) of Biden’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic, then approve (42%). This week, just 40% approve of the president’s handling of jobs and the economy, while 47% disapprove. In previous weeks, more usually approved than have disapproved.”
Schoen then used data from Obama’s first term to prove his point, saying, “for reference, at the same point in Obama’s first term, Obama’s net approval rating was 19 points higher than Biden’s is right now. At the same time, a majority of voters (52 percent) approved of Obama, while 41 percent disapproved, according to a September 13, 2009, Gallup poll.”
Schoen continued, “that being said, in the 2010 midterm elections, Democrats lost a net of 64 House Seats, and Republicans gained six seats in the Senate. Likewise, on September 12, 1993, Clinton’s approval rating was recorded at 47 percent, and 42 percent disapprove by a Gallup survey. To put that in context, Clinton’s net approval rating was 13 points higher than Biden is at the same point in his presidency.”
Another issue negatively affecting Biden is a sour view of his handling of the economy, where only 16 percent of adults say they feel he is doing a good job.
The Economist/YouGov poll was conducted September 4-7 with an unspecified number of people polled, but polling averages everywhere tell the same story.