A new poll released by Fox 10 and InsiderAdvantage shows Republican Kari Lake leading Democrat Katie Hobbs by 11 points, a huge swing for Lake in a race that was already trending in her direction.
Kari Lake received 54% support in the poll, with Hobbs receiving 43% support. According to Fox 10, only 2% of voters are undecided. The pollster who conducted the poll attributes Lake’s widening lead to Hobbs’ refusal to debate Lake. According to InsiderAdvantage, Lake is polling higher among Hispanics and older adults.
In the Real Clear Politics (RCP) polling average, Lake leads by 3.2 points – the widest margin since the polling average began. Weighing for historical polling error, RCP gives Lake a 5.6-point advantage twelve days out from election day.
The PredictIt betting market gives Lake an 82% chance of winning the election at the time of this writing. Lake continues to build her lead in the betting odds, continuing a breakaway from early October.
Political data website FiveThirtyEight gave Hobbs a slight advantage back in early September, but now gives Lake an almost 2-to-1 advantage over the Democrat. This is rated as Lake being “slightly favored” in the FiveThirtyEight Deluxe model.
Kari Lake has become a “MAGA favorite” during the course of the 2022 campaign season. Former President Donald Trump endorsed Lake in September of 2021, saying “She is strong on Crime, will protect our Border, Second Amendment, Military, and Vets, and will fight to restore Election Integrity (both past and future!)”
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Why don’t republicans proposed canceling fed income tax on social security benefits. That’s at least 40 mil votes. Got to have one thing voters can hang onto.